
Timur Magzhanov
Contributing author
Research Fellow at the Faculty of Economics, Moscow State University; Doctoral Candidate at Bocconi University (Milan, Italy)

Contributing author
Research Fellow at the Faculty of Economics, Moscow State University; Doctoral Candidate at Bocconi University (Milan, Italy)
OpinionWhy might Russia's inflation slowdown in 2026 be temporary? Analysis of trend inflation (MCT) shows that despite CPI declining to ~5.9%, persistent price pressure remains above 7%. We examine inflation structure, Central Bank of Russia assessments, and risks for monetary policy.
OpinionAnalysis of the April 2026 Iranian oil crisis: the Strait of Hormuz blockade, Brent's surge to $109 per barrel, revised forecasts of $82-134, restructuring of trade flows, Russia's role, and stagflation macro-financial risks.
OpinionA comprehensive analysis of the March 2026 oil crisis: Brent's 44% surge to $103, the release of 400 million barrels from reserves, the reshaping of global trade flows, and implications for the world economy. Data, charts, and forecasts from the EIA and IEA.
OpinionA study on the impact of tight monetary policy on business: which sectors are most vulnerable to rising rates, how corporate debt loads are changing, and what banks and businesses should do to mitigate risks.
OpinionOil market review for March 2026: why Brent surged 10% to $78-82, what futures and options are indicating, how the Strait of Hormuz blockade is affecting logistics, and what price forecasts analysts are offering. Risk and scenario analysis.